Casarano 2-2 Salernitana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.13
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.37
6+ Goals
7%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casarano EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Salernitana EU Bookmakers 50%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/0.98
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casarano
2-2
AWAY Salernitana
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 11
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Casarano vs Salernitana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casarano and Salernitana couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Salernitana at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Casarano had 39% of the ball to Salernitana's 61%, shots finished 12-18.

What was the final score of Casarano vs Salernitana?

Casarano 2-2 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie C on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casarano vs Salernitana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Casarano 29%, draw 27%, Salernitana 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Salernitana), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salernitana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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