Crotone vs Casertana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crotone v Casertana — Team-Based Signals
Crotone vs Casertana Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Crotone
İTC
Crotone 0-1 Casertana — Actual Match Statistics
Casertana nicked a narrow win over Crotone 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Crotone at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Crotone had 36% of the ball to Casertana's 64%, shots finished 5-24.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Casertana led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Crotone and 1.50 for Casertana.
What was the final score of Crotone vs Casertana?
Crotone 0-1 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crotone vs Casertana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Crotone 52%, draw 24%, Casertana 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Crotone), BTTS Yes went the other way.