Triestina 3-0 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.61
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.01
6+ Goals
8%
19.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +27%
1.30/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.03
-1% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Renate
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Renate Renate 0-1 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
22.11.2024 Triestina Triestina 0-1 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
13.02.2024 Triestina Triestina 1-3 HT 1-1 Renate Renate İTC
07.11.2023 Triestina Triestina 4-0 Renate Renate İTCK
07.10.2023 Renate Renate 1-1 HT 1-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
15.03.2023 Renate Renate 1-4 HT 1-2 Triestina Triestina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
3-0
AWAY Renate
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Triestina vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triestina cruised past Renate 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Triestina as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Triestina had 50% of the ball to Renate's 50%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Triestina had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Triestina and 1.00 for Renate.

What was the final score of Triestina vs Renate?

Triestina 3-0 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Triestina 44%, draw 26%, Renate 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triestina), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Triestina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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