Casertana 2-0 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.68
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.02
6+ Goals
9%
19.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
0.80/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.48
-28% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
232 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Crotone
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Crotone Crotone 2-3 HT 2-2 Casertana Casertana İTC
25.03.2024 Crotone Crotone 0-0 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
18.11.2023 Casertana Casertana 1-1 HT 1-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
2-0
AWAY Crotone
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Casertana vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana beat Crotone 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Casertana found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Casertana had 48% of the ball to Crotone's 52%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Casertana had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Casertana and 1.00 for Crotone.

What was the final score of Casertana vs Crotone?

Casertana 2-0 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Casertana 31%, draw 29%, Crotone 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Crotone) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crotone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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