SS Monopoli 3-2 SSC Giugliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.72
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals
26%
3.95
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-8.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.25/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.31
-13% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
2W-0D-3L
AWAY SSC Giugliano
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.12.2024 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 1-2 HT 0-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
06.04.2024 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 0-1 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
04.12.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-3 HT 0-3 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
19.03.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-3 HT 1-1 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
20.11.2022 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 2-1 HT 1-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
3-2
AWAY SSC Giugliano
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs SSC Giugliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli edged past SSC Giugliano 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had SS Monopoli as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 46% of the ball to SSC Giugliano's 54%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, SSC Giugliano led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for SS Monopoli and 1.80 for SSC Giugliano.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs SSC Giugliano?

SS Monopoli 3-2 SSC Giugliano in the Italy - Serie C on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs SSC Giugliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 42%, draw 29%, SSC Giugliano 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SS Monopoli) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SS Monopoli) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
19 Apr 2025
19:30 Foggia Calcio vs ACR Messina Analysis →
19:30 Sorrento Calcio vs Avellino Analysis →
19:30 Casertana vs Crotone Analysis →
19:30 Juventus II vs Cavese Analysis →
19:30 Team Altamura vs Audace Cerignola Analysis →
19:30 Benevento vs Trapani 1905 Analysis →