Team Altamura 1-0 Audace Cerignola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
22%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
54%
Away Win
54%
+0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Team Altamura EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 57%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.69/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.32
-28% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Team Altamura
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Audace Cerignola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.12.2024 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-1 HT 1-0 Team Altamura İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Team Altamura
1-0
AWAY Audace Cerignola
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Team Altamura vs Audace Cerignola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Team Altamura nicked a narrow win over Audace Cerignola 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Audace Cerignola at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Team Altamura had 43% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 57%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Team Altamura vs Audace Cerignola?

Team Altamura 1-0 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Team Altamura vs Audace Cerignola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Team Altamura 19%, draw 27%, Audace Cerignola 54%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Audace Cerignola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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