Renate 4-0 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Feb 2026

📅11/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.06
6+ Goals
8%
19.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 33% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -21%
0.99/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.61
-25% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Triestina
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Triestina Triestina 3-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
06.04.2025 Renate Renate 0-1 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
22.11.2024 Triestina Triestina 0-1 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
13.02.2024 Triestina Triestina 1-3 HT 1-1 Renate Renate İTC
07.11.2023 Triestina Triestina 4-0 Renate Renate İTCK
07.10.2023 Renate Renate 1-1 HT 1-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
4-0
AWAY Triestina
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Renate vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate swept aside Triestina 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Renate as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Renate had 36% of the ball to Triestina's 64%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Triestina led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Renate and 1.67 for Triestina.

What was the final score of Renate vs Triestina?

Renate 4-0 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renate win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Renate 42%, draw 28%, Triestina 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renate), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Renate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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