Bologna 1-1 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 11 Feb 2026

Bologna
1-1 HT 1-0
Lazio
📅11/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Cup – 2025/2026

Bologna vs Lazio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.62
Over
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.55
2-3
41%
1.76
4-5
21%
4.47
6+
10%
23.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.05
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
20%
4.83
X/2
10%
7.22
X/X
9%
3.93
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
16%
5.71
2/X
7%
14.05
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Bologna v Lazio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio The Market 30%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
2.87 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.20
0.22 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.71
Great Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Great Defensevs comparable teams Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
– Crosses 21.4
– Yellow Cards 3.1

Bologna vs Lazio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bologna
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lazio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.05 xG 1.01
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
422 Passes 428
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.12.2025 Lazio Lazio 1-1 HT 1-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
16.03.2025 Bologna Bologna 5-0 HT 1-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
24.11.2024 Lazio Lazio 3-0 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
18.02.2024 Lazio Lazio 1-2 HT 1-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
03.11.2023 Bologna Bologna 1-0 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
11.03.2023 Bologna Bologna 0-0 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA

Bologna 1-1 Lazio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna
1-1
AWAY Lazio
0.80 xG 1.23
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
385 Passes 439
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Bologna vs Lazio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bologna and Lazio traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We leaned Bologna at 45% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the under-2.5 price stood at 1.62, roughly 62%.

By the numbers, Lazio saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.80 to 1.23.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Bologna against 0.83 for Lazio.

Bologna vs Lazio Result & Final Score

Bologna 1-1 Lazio in the Italy - Cup on 11/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bologna vs Lazio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bologna 45%, draw 24%, Lazio 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bologna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bologna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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