Oldham Athletic 2-0 Eastleigh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
15%
4.6
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.32 — our 37% vs market 34.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.79
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
15%
4.29
X/2
12%
7.3
X/X
14%
4.02
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
11%
6.23
2/X
7%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.9pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.45/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.63
-5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
310 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Eastleigh
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Passes 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
07.01.2025 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-2 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
27.02.2024 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-2 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
11.11.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
11.03.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-0 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
17.09.2022 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 3-2 HT 1-2 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
2-0
AWAY Eastleigh
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
2 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Eastleigh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic saw off Eastleigh 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Oldham Athletic as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 61% of the ball to Eastleigh's 39%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Oldham Athletic had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Oldham Athletic and 1.40 for Eastleigh.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Eastleigh?

Oldham Athletic 2-0 Eastleigh in the England - National League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Eastleigh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 42%, draw 27%, Eastleigh 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oldham Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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