Rochdale 3-0 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 30% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.82
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
11%
4.62
X/2
12%
7.16
X/X
12%
4.44
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
15%
5.53
2/X
8%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
1.41/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.74
-7% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
197 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 170 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Altrincham
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Rochdale Rochdale 2-0 HT 2-0 Altrincham Altrincham İNFAT
10.02.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 3-0 HT 1-0 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
21.11.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 3-0 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
3-0
AWAY Altrincham
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
2 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale cruised past Altrincham 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Rochdale made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Rochdale had 63% of the ball to Altrincham's 37%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rochdale had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rochdale and 1.00 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Altrincham?

Rochdale 3-0 Altrincham in the England - National League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 39%, draw 29%, Altrincham 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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