Forest Green Rovers 2-1 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 11 Mar 2025

Forest Green Rovers
2-1 HT 2-0
Sutton United
📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Forest Green Rovers vs Sutton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.76
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.78
6+ Goals
8%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 34% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.62
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
21%
4.45
X/2
7%
7.85
X/X
16%
4.38
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
14%
6.28
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forest Green Rovers v Sutton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.63/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.23
+1% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 192 · 62%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Forest Green Rovers vs Sutton United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sutton United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.92 xG 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
246 Passes 195
66% Pass Accuracy 60%
23 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.08.2024 Sutton United Sutton United 1-2 HT 0-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
16.03.2024 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
02.09.2023 Sutton United Sutton United 0-1 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
12.02.2022 Sutton United Sutton United 1-1 HT 1-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
07.08.2021 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
14.03.2017 Sutton United Sutton United 1-2 HT 0-2 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL

Forest Green Rovers 2-1 Sutton United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
2-1
AWAY Sutton United
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers edged past Sutton United 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Forest Green Rovers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Forest Green Rovers had 41% of the ball to Sutton United's 59%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 0.83 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Sutton United?

Forest Green Rovers 2-1 Sutton United in the England - National League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 42%, draw 30%, Sutton United 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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