Buxton 1-0 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 31% vs market 27.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buxton EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +9%
1.39/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.69
-1% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buxton
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Spennymoor Town
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
16.12.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-3 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
23.09.2023 Buxton Buxton 0-2 HT 0-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
01.04.2023 Buxton Buxton 2-1 HT 2-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
08.10.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buxton
1-0
AWAY Spennymoor Town
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Buxton vs Spennymoor Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton edged past Spennymoor Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Buxton made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Buxton had 59% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 41%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Buxton had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Buxton and 1.20 for Spennymoor Town.

What was the final score of Buxton vs Spennymoor Town?

Buxton 1-0 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buxton vs Spennymoor Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Buxton 37%, draw 25%, Spennymoor Town 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Spennymoor Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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