Spennymoor Town 1-1 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.66
6+ Goals
8%
15.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.50/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.46
-9% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Buxton
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-3 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
23.09.2023 Buxton Buxton 0-2 HT 0-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
01.04.2023 Buxton Buxton 2-1 HT 2-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
08.10.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
1-1
AWAY Buxton
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town and Buxton shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Spennymoor Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 44% of the ball to Buxton's 56%, shots finished 11-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Buxton led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Spennymoor Town and 1.50 for Buxton.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Buxton?

Spennymoor Town 1-1 Buxton in the England - Conference on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 43%, draw 28%, Buxton 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spennymoor Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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