Marine 1-0 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.26
6+ Goals
8%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marine EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 34%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -16%
0.42/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.62
-70% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marine
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Southport
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
30.11.2024 Southport Southport 0-0 HT 0-0 Marine Marine İCON
15.12.2020 Marine Marine 0-1 HT 0-1 Southport Southport FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marine
1-0
AWAY Southport
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Marine vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marine nicked a narrow win over Southport 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marine as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Marine had 45% of the ball to Southport's 55%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Southport led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Marine and 0.50 for Southport.

What was the final score of Marine vs Southport?

Marine 1-0 Southport in the England - Conference on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marine vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marine win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Marine 41%, draw 30%, Southport 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marine), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marine) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
11 Mar 2025
00:00 Darlington 1883 vs Radcliffe Borough Analysis →
22:45 Weymouth vs Weston-super-Mare Analysis →
22:45 Farnborough vs Boreham Wood Analysis →
22:45 Maidstone United vs Dorking Wanderers Analysis →
22:45 Chesham United vs Tonbridge Angels Analysis →
22:45 Bath City vs Slough Town Analysis →