Crawley Town 0-1 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.36
6+ Goals
8%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 30% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.04
1/2
6%
23.4
1/X
5%
15.55
X/1
10%
8.85
X/2
11%
4.24
X/X
14%
5.01
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.3
2/X
9%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-8.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 57%
+21% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +12%
0.99/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.67
+34% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / +70%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
237 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 70%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
13.5 Crosses 20.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crawley Town
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.37 xG 1.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
384 Passes 322
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2024 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-2 HT 0-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN1
05.09.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 4-3 HT 2-2 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNTK
31.08.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 6-1 HT 3-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İNTK
21.07.2018 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic HAZ
29.08.2017 Crawley Town Crawley Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNTK
04.10.2016 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Crawley Town Crawley Town İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crawley Town
0-1
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.41 xG 1.87
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
268 Passes 252
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 40
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crawley Town vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlton Athletic nicked a narrow win over Crawley Town 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Charlton Athletic as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Crawley Town had 53% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 47%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.41 to 1.87 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Charlton Athletic's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Crawley Town and 2.33 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Charlton Athletic?

Crawley Town 0-1 Charlton Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 27%, draw 28%, Charlton Athletic 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlton Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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