Blackpool 2-1 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
26%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.08
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
14.95
X/1
17%
4.06
X/2
8%
10.15
X/X
9%
5.2
2/1
7%
23.4
2/2
8%
8.39
2/X
8%
16.8
Value flag · 1/X at 14.95 — our 9% vs market 4.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackpool EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.55/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.24
-18% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
21.9 Crosses 17.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackpool
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cambridge United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.25 xG 1.54
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 Passes 278
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 4-4 HT 1-3 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
06.04.2024 Blackpool Blackpool 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
16.12.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-1 HT 2-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
14.01.2017 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN2
08.10.2016 Blackpool Blackpool 1-1 HT 0-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
26.02.2002 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-3 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackpool
2-1
AWAY Cambridge United
1.19 xG 0.96
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
380 Passes 319
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Blackpool vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackpool squeezed past Cambridge United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Blackpool as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Blackpool had 53% of the ball to Cambridge United's 47%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.19 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Blackpool and 1.17 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Blackpool vs Cambridge United?

Blackpool 2-1 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackpool vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Blackpool 53%, draw 26%, Cambridge United 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackpool), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Blackpool) ✓ Over 2.5
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