Blackpool 1-0 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 30% vs market 27.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.98
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.3
X/1
21%
3.55
X/2
9%
11.3
X/X
11%
5.03
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
9%
9.73
2/X
8%
18.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackpool EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
1.76/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.48
-5% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 67%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.1 Crosses 16.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackpool
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Cambridge United
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.96 xG 2.56
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
349 Passes 176
75% Pass Accuracy 56%
26 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 5
16.12.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-1 HT 2-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
14.01.2017 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN2
08.10.2016 Blackpool Blackpool 1-1 HT 0-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
26.02.2002 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-3 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
22.09.2001 Blackpool Blackpool 1-1 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackpool
1-0
AWAY Cambridge United
0.67 xG 0.44
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
409 Passes 291
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
38 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Blackpool vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackpool edged past Cambridge United 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Blackpool as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Blackpool had 56% of the ball to Cambridge United's 44%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 0.67 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Blackpool and 0.80 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Blackpool vs Cambridge United?

Blackpool 1-0 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackpool vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Blackpool 51%, draw 26%, Cambridge United 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackpool), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Blackpool) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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