Cambridge United 4-4 Blackpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 30% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.02
1/2
11%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
12%
6.62
X/2
12%
4.59
X/X
12%
4.3
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.01
2/X
9%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackpool EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -22%
1.00/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.34
-7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
231 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 69%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
17.8 Crosses 22.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Blackpool
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.50 xG 0.81
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
234 Passes 379
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Blackpool Blackpool 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
16.12.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-1 HT 2-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
14.01.2017 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN2
08.10.2016 Blackpool Blackpool 1-1 HT 0-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
26.02.2002 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-3 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
22.09.2001 Blackpool Blackpool 1-1 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
4-4
AWAY Blackpool
1.61 xG 2.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 10
366 Passes 308
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Blackpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambridge United and Blackpool couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Blackpool at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cambridge United had 52% of the ball to Blackpool's 48%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.61 to 2.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cambridge United and 1.17 for Blackpool.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Blackpool?

Cambridge United 4-4 Blackpool in the England - 1st Division on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Blackpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 31%, draw 28%, Blackpool 41%. The final score 4-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Blackpool) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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