Lucchese 2-2 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
48%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.53
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+9.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
48%
Away Win
60%
-11.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.0pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lucchese EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 64%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.49/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.47
-43% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +51%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
231 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lucchese
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Virtus Entella
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2024 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-0 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
15.03.2024 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-0 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
13.11.2023 Lucchese Lucchese 1-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
06.04.2023 Lucchese Lucchese 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
03.12.2022 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-1 HT 0-1 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
17.11.2022 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-1 HT 1-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lucchese
2-2
AWAY Virtus Entella
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lucchese vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lucchese and Virtus Entella shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Virtus Entella at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lucchese had 46% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 54%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lucchese had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lucchese and 0.33 for Virtus Entella.

What was the final score of Lucchese vs Virtus Entella?

Lucchese 2-2 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie C on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lucchese vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated an Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lucchese 25%, draw 27%, Virtus Entella 48%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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