Pineto 2-1 Milan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.07
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
5.4
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.7pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.1pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan II EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.89/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.83
-31% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +47%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pineto
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Milan II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.10.2024 Milan II Milan II 0-2 HT 0-1 Pineto Pineto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pineto
2-1
AWAY Milan II
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pineto vs Milan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pineto edged past Milan II 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pineto as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pineto had 42% of the ball to Milan II's 58%, shots finished 6-9.

What was the final score of Pineto vs Milan II?

Pineto 2-1 Milan II in the Italy - Serie C on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pineto vs Milan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pineto win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pineto 47%, draw 23%, Milan II 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pineto) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pineto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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