Pianese 0-1 SPAL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Mar 2025

Pianese
0-1 HT 0-0
SPAL
📅11/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
4.25
6+ Goals
8%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pianese EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY SPAL EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
1.09/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.44
-10% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pianese
0W-1D-0L
AWAY SPAL
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2024 SPAL SPAL 1-1 HT 0-0 Pianese Pianese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pianese
0-1
AWAY SPAL
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pianese vs SPAL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SPAL nicked a narrow win over Pianese 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pianese at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Pianese had 50% of the ball to SPAL's 50%, shots finished 15-21.

What was the final score of Pianese vs SPAL?

Pianese 0-1 SPAL in the Italy - Serie C on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pianese vs SPAL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pianese win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pianese 43%, draw 27%, SPAL 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pianese), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pianese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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