Perugia 1-0 Sassari Torres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.27
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.73
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.7pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.7pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perugia EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
0.84/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.99
-24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
228 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perugia
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Sassari Torres
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2024 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 2-1 HT 1-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
18.02.2024 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 1-0 HT 0-0 Perugia Perugia İTC
15.10.2023 Perugia Perugia 1-1 HT 0-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perugia
1-0
AWAY Sassari Torres
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Perugia vs Sassari Torres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perugia edged past Sassari Torres 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 36%) promised a tight game; Perugia found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Perugia had 40% of the ball to Sassari Torres's 60%, shots finished 4-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sassari Torres led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Perugia and 1.33 for Sassari Torres.

What was the final score of Perugia vs Sassari Torres?

Perugia 1-0 Sassari Torres in the Italy - Serie C on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perugia vs Sassari Torres?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassari Torres win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Perugia 31%, draw 33%, Sassari Torres 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sassari Torres) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sassari Torres) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
11 Mar 2025
20:30 Pianese vs SPAL Analysis →
20:30 Pineto vs Milan II Analysis →
20:30 Pontedera vs Pescara Analysis →
20:30 Arezzo vs Athletic Carpi Analysis →
20:30 Legnago Salus vs Rimini Analysis →
22:45 Lucchese vs Virtus Entella Analysis →