Arezzo 0-1 Athletic Carpi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.56
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.09
6+ Goals
12%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arezzo EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.52/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.37
-13% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arezzo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Athletic Carpi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2024 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi 2-1 HT 1-1 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arezzo
0-1
AWAY Athletic Carpi
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arezzo vs Athletic Carpi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Carpi nicked a narrow win over Arezzo 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Arezzo at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Arezzo had 61% of the ball to Athletic Carpi's 39%, shots finished 6-2.

What was the final score of Arezzo vs Athletic Carpi?

Arezzo 0-1 Athletic Carpi in the Italy - Serie C on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Athletic Carpi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 49%, draw 27%, Athletic Carpi 24%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arezzo) ✗ BTTS Yes
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