Athletic Carpi 2-1 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.69
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.0pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.4pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 49%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.98/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.29
-8% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
243 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Carpi
2-1
AWAY Arezzo
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Athletic Carpi vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Carpi squeezed past Arezzo 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 34% / 39% — and on the day Athletic Carpi made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Athletic Carpi had 43% of the ball to Arezzo's 57%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Athletic Carpi vs Arezzo?

Athletic Carpi 2-1 Arezzo in the Italy - Serie C on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Carpi vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Athletic Carpi 28%, draw 34%, Arezzo 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arezzo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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