Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 Shanghai Port — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.09
2-3 Goals
43%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.55
6+ Goals
11%
6.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.67
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.85
X/1
20%
4.06
X/2
7%
14.15
X/X
8%
7.49
2/1
5%
19.25
2/2
6%
10.85
2/X
5%
19.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-3.5pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.2pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 18%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.18/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.85
+14% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -25%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
476 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
27.8 Crosses 14.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Shanghai Port
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.85 xG 0.80
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
504 Passes 289
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2025 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 0-1 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos AŞMP
19.02.2025 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 0-2 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos AŞMP
28.11.2020 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 HT 1-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port AŞMP
25.11.2020 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 0-1 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
4-1
AWAY Shanghai Port
2.22 xG 1.72
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
308 Passes 411
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 29
7 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shanghai Port
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos swept aside Shanghai Port 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yokohama F. Marinos as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 43% of the ball to Shanghai Port's 57%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.22 to 1.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 0.50 for Shanghai Port.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shanghai Port?

Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 Shanghai Port in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shanghai Port?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 63%, draw 19%, Shanghai Port 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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