Johor DT 0-1 Buriram United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.97
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
26%
3.54
6+ Goals
7%
14.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.52
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
21%
4.4
X/2
8%
8.03
X/X
15%
4.68
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
13%
6.35
2/X
6%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Johor DT EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Buriram United EU Bookmakers 28%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.15/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.70
+86% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -60%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
13.1 Crosses 15.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Johor DT
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Buriram United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.29 xG 0.74
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
308 Passes 369
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2025 Buriram United Buriram United 0-0 HT 0-0 Johor DT Johor DT AŞMP
03.12.2024 Johor DT Johor DT 0-0 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Johor DT
0-1
AWAY Buriram United
1.31 xG 1.21
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
413 Passes 266
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
42 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Johor DT vs Buriram United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United edged past Johor DT 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Johor DT at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Johor DT had 60% of the ball to Buriram United's 40%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.31 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Johor DT and 0.00 for Buriram United.

What was the final score of Johor DT vs Buriram United?

Johor DT 0-1 Buriram United in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Johor DT vs Buriram United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Johor DT win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Johor DT 47%, draw 28%, Buriram United 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Johor DT) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Johor DT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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