Al Ahli Jeddah 2-0 Al Rayyan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.34
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.61
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.67
2-3 Goals
39%
2.01
4-5 Goals
25%
2.46
6+ Goals
13%
5.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.56
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.2
X/1
12%
4.03
X/2
8%
16.0
X/X EV+ ✗
14%
8.35
2/1
8%
18.8
2/2
10%
12.15
2/X
5%
20.65
Value flag · X/X at 8.35 — our 14% vs market 8.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
70%
-18.0pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.6pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 16%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
3.66/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.68
+11% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / +68%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
475 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 81%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
17.7 Crosses 12.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Rayyan
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.88 xG 0.64
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
426 Passes 362
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2025 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah AŞMP
21.10.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-2 HT 0-2 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
2-0
AWAY Al Rayyan
2.30 xG 0.82
52% Ball Possession 48%
25 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
337 Passes 294
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
41 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Rayyan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah beat Al Rayyan 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 52% of the ball to Al Rayyan's 48%, shots finished 25-13, expected goals 2.30 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 1.00 for Al Rayyan.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Rayyan?

Al Ahli Jeddah 2-0 Al Rayyan in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Rayyan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 52%, draw 25%, Al Rayyan 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ Over 2.5
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