Mirassol FC 2-2 Santos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 11 Mar 2026

Mirassol FC
2-2 HT 1-0
Santos
📅11/03/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Mirassol FC vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.9
Over
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.25
2-3
42%
1.75
4-5
20%
3.39
6+
10%
13.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.27
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
17%
4.33
X/2
9%
9.06
X/X
14%
4.84
2/1 ✗
10%
23.5
2/2
7%
7.16
2/X
5%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.5 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Mirassol FC v Santos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos The Market 24%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
0.96/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.44
+18% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
22.8 Crosses 17.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7

Mirassol FC vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Santos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 1.36
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
367 Passes 322
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.11.2025 Santos Santos 1-1 HT 1-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR1
20.07.2025 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
13.10.2024 Santos Santos 3-2 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
26.06.2024 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR2
12.02.2024 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Santos Santos BREPAU
15.01.2023 Santos Santos 2-1 HT 1-1 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BREPAU

Mirassol FC 2-2 Santos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
2-2
AWAY Santos
1.49 xG 1.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
386 Passes 291
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Mirassol FC vs Santos
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mirassol FC and Santos finished all square at 2-2. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

Our pre-match lean was Mirassol FC at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.75, about 57% — so the upset beat the price as well as us.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 54%. The market went further still — the over-2.5 price closed at 1.82, about 55%.

The match data tells the story: Mirassol FC had 54% of the ball to Santos's 46%, shots finished 20-16, expected goals 1.49 to 1.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mirassol FC and 1.33 for Santos.

Mirassol FC vs Santos Result & Final Score

Mirassol FC 2-2 Santos in the Brazil - Serie A on 11/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mirassol FC vs Santos Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 51%, draw 27%, Santos 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mirassol FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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