TransINVEST Vilnius 1-0 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 11 Mar 2026

📅11/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +12%
0.98/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.96
-25% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-1 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LITA
10.08.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
15.06.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-0 HT 1-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
13.04.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 0-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
16.08.2023 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 2-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
1-0
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransINVEST Vilnius nicked a narrow win over Banga Gargzdai 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had TransINVEST Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, TransINVEST Vilnius had 53% of the ball to Banga Gargzdai's 47%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Banga Gargzdai led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for TransINVEST Vilnius and 1.20 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai?

TransINVEST Vilnius 1-0 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 11/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a TransINVEST Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 42%, draw 25%, Banga Gargzdai 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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