Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 11 Mar 2026

📅11/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 21%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.21/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.71
+18% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FA Siauliai
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
05.07.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 5-2 HT 1-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
02.05.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-3 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
15.03.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
01.09.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-1 HT 3-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
26.06.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
1-1
AWAY FA Siauliai
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen and FA Siauliai couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hegelmann Litauen at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hegelmann Litauen had 56% of the ball to FA Siauliai's 44%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hegelmann Litauen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 0.83 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs FA Siauliai?

Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 11/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 54%, draw 27%, FA Siauliai 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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