Central Coast Mariners (K) 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 11 Apr 2025

Central Coast Mariners (K)
0-1 HT 0-0
Melbourne Victory (K)
📅11/04/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
28%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
31%
-5.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
48%
Away Win
43%
+4.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.4pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners (K) v Melbourne Victory (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.15/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.97
-14% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
15.3 Crosses 17.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 1.20
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
259 Passes 365
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.02.2025 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW
23.11.2024 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
10.02.2024 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW

Central Coast Mariners (K) 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
0-1
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
0.72 xG 0.48
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
353 Passes 257
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 9
11 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory (K) edged past Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melbourne Victory (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners (K) had 56% of the ball to Melbourne Victory (K)'s 44%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.72 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Central Coast Mariners (K) and 1.33 for Melbourne Victory (K).

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Central Coast Mariners (K) 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners (K) 26%, draw 26%, Melbourne Victory (K) 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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