Atletico Mineiro 4-0 Deportes Iquique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.22
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.29
Over
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.55
2-3
40%
1.89
4-5
25%
2.73
6+
10%
7.31
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.55 — our 25% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.35
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
27.5
X/1
17%
3.74
X/2
6%
29.0
X/X
10%
8.89
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
6%
27.5
2/X
7%
33.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Atletico Mineiro win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
78%
-17.7pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.4pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.3pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
394 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
4-0
AWAY Deportes Iquique
4.23 xG 0.29
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
406 Passes 285
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Deportes Iquique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro cruised past Deportes Iquique 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 56% of the ball to Deportes Iquique's 44%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 4.23 to 0.29.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Deportes Iquique?

Atletico Mineiro 4-0 Deportes Iquique in the Copa Sudamericana on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Deportes Iquique?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 60%, draw 23%, Deportes Iquique 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Mineiro), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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