Fluminense vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense 5-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense swept aside Gualberto Villarroel SJ 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Fluminense had 64% of the ball to Gualberto Villarroel SJ's 36%, shots finished 22-3, expected goals 3.08 to 0.08.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?
Fluminense 5-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Copa Sudamericana on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 63%, draw 20%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 17%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.