Club Guarani 2-0 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.9
Over
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.21
2-3
43%
1.76
4-5
23%
3.4
6+
10%
13.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.05
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.55
X/1
21%
4.07
X/2
6%
10.75
X/X
6%
5.35
2/1
10%
23.75
2/2
10%
8.98
2/X
7%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Club Guarani win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
-0.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
2-0
AWAY Nacional Potosi
0.90 xG 2.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
306 Passes 312
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani got the better of Nacional Potosi 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Club Guarani as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Club Guarani had 49% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 51%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 0.90 to 2.15 — on chances, Nacional Potosi could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Nacional Potosi?

Club Guarani 2-0 Nacional Potosi in the Copa Sudamericana on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 58%, draw 21%, Nacional Potosi 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Guarani), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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