Pau 2-2 Clermont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 11 Apr 2025

Pau
2-2 HT 1-1
Clermont
📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2024/2025

Pau vs Clermont Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 27% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.7
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
18%
4.82
X/2
9%
7.59
X/X
14%
5.15
2/1
9%
23.3
2/2
10%
5.44
2/X
5%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pau v Clermont — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pau EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Clermont EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.69/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.26
+17% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
23.1 Crosses 20.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Pau vs Clermont Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pau
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Clermont
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.05 xG 1.81
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
246 Passes 512
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 36
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.08.2024 Clermont Clermont 2-2 HT 1-2 Pau Pau FR2
10.04.2021 Pau Pau 2-1 HT 0-1 Clermont Clermont FR2
05.12.2020 Clermont Clermont 3-0 HT 1-0 Pau Pau FR2

Pau 2-2 Clermont — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pau
2-2
AWAY Clermont
3.08 xG 0.52
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
355 Passes 342
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
30 Box Touches 18
30 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pau vs Clermont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pau and Clermont couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pau at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Pau had 52% of the ball to Clermont's 48%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 3.08 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pau and 2.00 for Clermont.

What was the final score of Pau vs Clermont?

Pau 2-2 Clermont in the France - Ligue 2 on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pau vs Clermont?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pau win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pau 46%, draw 29%, Clermont 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pau), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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