Amiens SC 1-0 Dunkerque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
4.12
6+ Goals
8%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.55
1/2
4%
27.0
1/X
6%
15.7
X/1
9%
7.91
X/2
16%
4.34
X/X
12%
4.47
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
25%
2.62
2/X
7%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 53%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.00/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.35
-34% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
15.7 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amiens SC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dunkerque
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.35 xG 1.14
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
355 Passes 376
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2024 Dunkerque Dunkerque 3-1 HT 2-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
02.08.2024 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-5 HT 1-1 Dunkerque Dunkerque HAZ
20.04.2024 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
04.11.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-1 HT 0-1 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
22.04.2022 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-0 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
03.12.2021 Amiens SC Amiens SC 3-0 HT 1-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amiens SC
1-0
AWAY Dunkerque
1.31 xG 1.58
27% Ball Possession 73%
4 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 9
160 Passes 554
68% Pass Accuracy 89%
6 Box Touches 35
4 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Amiens SC vs Dunkerque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amiens SC nicked a narrow win over Dunkerque 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dunkerque at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Amiens SC had 27% of the ball to Dunkerque's 73%, shots finished 4-18, expected goals 1.31 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunkerque led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Amiens SC and 1.50 for Dunkerque.

What was the final score of Amiens SC vs Dunkerque?

Amiens SC 1-0 Dunkerque in the France - Ligue 2 on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amiens SC vs Dunkerque?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dunkerque win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Amiens SC 30%, draw 24%, Dunkerque 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dunkerque) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dunkerque) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR2 More France - Ligue 2
11 Apr 2025
21:00 Pau vs Clermont Analysis →
21:00 Troyes vs Ajaccio Analysis →
21:00 Martigues vs Metz Analysis →
21:00 Red Star FC 93 vs Annecy Analysis →
21:00 Rodez vs Caen Analysis →