Slaven Belupo vs Sibenik Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Slaven Belupo v Sibenik — Team-Based Signals
Slaven Belupo vs Sibenik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Slaven Belupo
HIR
0-1
HT 0-1
Sibenik
HIR
Slaven Belupo 2-0 Sibenik — Actual Match Statistics
Slaven Belupo saw off Sibenik 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slaven Belupo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Slaven Belupo had 58% of the ball to Sibenik's 42%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.90 to 1.12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sibenik led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Slaven Belupo and 1.67 for Sibenik.
What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs Sibenik?
Slaven Belupo 2-0 Sibenik in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs Sibenik?
Before kick-off our model rated a Slaven Belupo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 47%, draw 26%, Sibenik 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slaven Belupo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.