Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Korona Kielce v Widzew Lodz — Team-Based Signals
Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Widzew Lodz
POL
0-3
HT 0-2
Korona Kielce
POL
0-1
HT 0-0
Widzew Lodz
POL
Korona Kielce 2-1 Widzew Lodz — Actual Match Statistics
Korona Kielce edged past Widzew Lodz 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Korona Kielce as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Korona Kielce had 53% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 47%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.53 to 0.96.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Korona Kielce had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Korona Kielce and 0.83 for Widzew Lodz.
What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz?
Korona Kielce 2-1 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Korona Kielce win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 42%, draw 27%, Widzew Lodz 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Korona Kielce) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.