Hearts vs Motherwell Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hearts v Motherwell — Team-Based Signals
Hearts vs Motherwell Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hearts 3-1 Motherwell — Actual Match Statistics
Hearts had too much for Motherwell 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 53%.
Under the surface, Motherwell saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.74 to 2.21 — on chances, Motherwell could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Hearts against 1.00 for Motherwell.
Hearts vs Motherwell Result & Final Score
Hearts 3 - 1 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hearts vs Motherwell Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hearts 49%, draw 27%, Motherwell 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.