Hearts vs Motherwell Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hearts v Motherwell — Team-Based Signals
Hearts vs Motherwell Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Hearts
İKP
Hearts 3-3 Motherwell — Actual Match Statistics
Hearts and Motherwell shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Hearts carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Hearts had 49% of the ball to Motherwell's 51%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.18 to 1.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hearts and 0.67 for Motherwell.
What was the final score of Hearts vs Motherwell?
Hearts 3-3 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hearts vs Motherwell?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hearts 55%, draw 23%, Motherwell 23%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.