Leicester City vs Swansea City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leicester City v Swansea City — Team-Based Signals
Leicester City vs Swansea City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Leicester City
İNCL
1-1
HT 1-0
Swansea City
İNP
1-2
HT 0-1
Leicester City
İNP
2-0
HT 2-0
Leicester City
İNP
Leicester City 0-1 Swansea City — Actual Match Statistics
Swansea City nicked a narrow win over Leicester City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Leicester City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Leicester City had 56% of the ball to Swansea City's 44%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.37 to 0.71 — the balance of chances actually favoured Leicester City.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leicester City and 1.17 for Swansea City.
What was the final score of Leicester City vs Swansea City?
Leicester City 0-1 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leicester City vs Swansea City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Leicester City 45%, draw 25%, Swansea City 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.