Longford Town 1-0 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.86
Over
37%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.69
No
55%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
33%
3.14
2-3
41%
1.72
4-5
19%
3.35
6+
7%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.14 — our 33% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers The Market 42%
-1% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
1.49/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.23
+10% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.02.2026 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
26.09.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
26.07.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
18.04.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 4-0 HT 2-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
15.02.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
06.09.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Longford Town
1-0
AWAY Bray Wanderers
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Longford Town squeezed past Bray Wanderers 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Longford Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came home.

Under the surface, Bray Wanderers saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 7-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Longford Town against 1.33 for Bray Wanderers.

Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers Result & Final Score

Longford Town 1-0 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 33%, draw 31%, Bray Wanderers 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bray Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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