Longford Town 1-2 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
40%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.97
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
8.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.97 — our 30% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+8.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
40%
Away Win
51%
-11.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 56%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.11/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.16
-16% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +0%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.04.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 4-0 HT 2-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
15.02.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
06.09.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
04.07.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
13.04.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
25.03.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers edged past Longford Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Bray Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bray Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Longford Town and 1.50 for Bray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers?

Longford Town 1-2 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - 1st Division on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 33%, draw 26%, Bray Wanderers 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bray Wanderers), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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