Longford Town 0-1 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
35%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.15
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
3.37
6+ Goals
13%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 29% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.5pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.1pp
34%
Away Win
45%
-10.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.17/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.52
-13% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
04.07.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
13.04.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
25.03.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
14.10.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-2 HT 0-2 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
07.08.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-4 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Longford Town 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Bray Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Longford Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Longford Town and 1.33 for Bray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers?

Longford Town 0-1 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - 1st Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 33%, draw 32%, Bray Wanderers 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bray Wanderers), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5
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