Bray Wanderers 1-1 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.3pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.7pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.85/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.82
+6% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
395 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Longford Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
4 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 4
26.09.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
26.07.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
18.04.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 4-0 HT 2-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
15.02.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
06.09.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
04.07.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bray Wanderers
1-1
AWAY Longford Town
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers and Longford Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bray Wanderers at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bray Wanderers had 56% of the ball to Longford Town's 44%, shots finished 5-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bray Wanderers and 0.83 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Longford Town?

Bray Wanderers 1-1 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 54%, draw 18%, Longford Town 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bray Wanderers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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