Univ College Dublin 2-1 Kerry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.19
Draw
21%
3.18
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.84
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.8
6+ Goals
9%
16.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
42%
+10.7pp
21%
Draw
28%
-6.8pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerry EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.31/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.11
-9% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Kerry
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.09.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
25.07.2025 Kerry 0-3 HT 0-2 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
02.05.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-1 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
28.03.2025 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
30.08.2024 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
07.06.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 1-1 Kerry İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Univ College Dublin
2-1
AWAY Kerry
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Kerry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin nicked a narrow win over Kerry 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Univ College Dublin as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Univ College Dublin had 65% of the ball to Kerry's 35%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Univ College Dublin and 0.50 for Kerry.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Kerry?

Univ College Dublin 2-1 Kerry in the Ireland - 1st Division on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Kerry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 52%, draw 21%, Kerry 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Univ College Dublin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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