Athlone Town 2-1 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
40%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
12%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-8.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
40%
Away Win
29%
+10.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 32%
-20% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
0.95/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.03
-40% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Finn Harps
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.08.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-1 HT 1-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
20.06.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
09.05.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-2 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
28.03.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
06.09.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-4 HT 0-2 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
03.06.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athlone Town
2-1
AWAY Finn Harps
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town edged past Finn Harps 2-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Athlone Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Athlone Town had 54% of the ball to Finn Harps's 46%, shots finished 19-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Finn Harps led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Athlone Town and 1.33 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?

Athlone Town 2-1 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated an Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 36%, draw 24%, Finn Harps 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Finn Harps), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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