Finn Harps 2-1 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.53
6+ Goals
9%
14.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
50%
+4.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.94/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.43
+22% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Athlone Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
09.05.2025 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-2 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
28.03.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
06.09.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-4 HT 0-2 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
03.06.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
12.04.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
2-1
AWAY Athlone Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps edged past Athlone Town 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Finn Harps as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Finn Harps had 54% of the ball to Athlone Town's 46%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Finn Harps and 0.83 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?

Finn Harps 2-1 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 54%, draw 23%, Athlone Town 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Finn Harps), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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