Cork City 1-0 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
12%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 29% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
67%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
12%
Away Win
13%
-1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cork City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +19%
1.51/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.72
-25% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cork City
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Treaty United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2024 Cork City Cork City 1-1 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
02.08.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 1-1 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
24.05.2024 Cork City Cork City 1-1 HT 1-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
22.03.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 0-0 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
22.07.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 0-2 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İRK
12.08.2022 Cork City Cork City 0-2 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
POST-MATCH Cork City vs Treaty United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cork City nicked a narrow win over Treaty United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cork City as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cork City and 0.83 for Treaty United.

What was the final score of Cork City vs Treaty United?

Cork City 1-0 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cork City vs Treaty United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Cork City 65%, draw 23%, Treaty United 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cork City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cork City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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