Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-2 Babelsberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
25%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
45%
+6.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-5.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.3pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 34%
+14% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
2.37/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.03
+41% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +52%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Babelsberg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2025 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-2 HT 0-2 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
02.03.2025 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-2 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
02.10.2024 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-1 HT 0-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
07.04.2024 Babelsberg Babelsberg 3-1 HT 2-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
20.10.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-1 HT 0-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
05.05.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 2-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Babelsberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt saw off Babelsberg 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rot-Weiss Erfurt as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Babelsberg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rot-Weiss Erfurt and 1.17 for Babelsberg.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Babelsberg?

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-2 Babelsberg in the Germany - Regional League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Babelsberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Erfurt 51%, draw 24%, Babelsberg 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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